26095 · 2026-07-25 23:30 · Finished
卡尔马 vs 米亚尔比AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
米亚尔比 win 41.5%
Confidence 9.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 32.2% | 26.3% | 41.5% | 负 | 9.2% |
| 14-Match | 32.2% | 26.3% | 41.5% | 负 | 9.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.035
Away
0.029
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 1.95 | 3.10 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.80 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.41 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 卡尔马 vs 米亚尔比?
The AI model leans 米亚尔比 win at 41.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 32.2%, draw 26.3%, away 41.5%. Kickoff 2026-07-25 23:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.