周日206 · 2026-07-26 20:00 · Finished
天狼星 vs 哥德堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-1（胜）
AI Lean
天狼星 win 63.7%
Confidence 40.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 63.7% | 23.2% | 13.0% | 胜 | 40.5% |
| 14-Match | 63.7% | 23.2% | 13.0% | 胜 | 40.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.024
Draw
0.040
Away
0.074
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 1.68 | 1.57 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.31 | — |
| Away | — | — | 7.67 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 天狼星 vs 哥德堡?
The AI model leans 天狼星 win at 63.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 63.7%, draw 23.2%, away 13.0%. Kickoff 2026-07-26 20:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.