周日204 · 2026-07-19 22:30 · Finished
哈尔姆斯塔德 vs 赫根AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-2（负）
AI Lean
赫根 win 48.7%
Confidence 20.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 22.7% | 28.6% | 48.7% | 负 | 20.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.056
Draw
0.040
Away
0.020
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 2.06 | 4.41 | — |
| Draw | 3.92 | 2.55 | 3.50 | — |
| Away | 2.32 | 1.51 | 2.05 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 哈尔姆斯塔德 vs 赫根?
The AI model leans 赫根 win at 48.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 22.7%, draw 28.6%, away 48.7%. Kickoff 2026-07-19 22:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.