周一203 · 2026-07-21 01:00
厄尔格里特 vs 佐加顿斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
佐加顿斯 win 68.1%
Confidence 51.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 16.6% | 15.3% | 68.1% | 负 | 51.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.085
Draw
0.051
Away
0.019
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 1.16 | 6.02 | — |
| Draw | 6.47 | 4.21 | 6.55 | — |
| Away | 3.49 | 2.27 | 1.47 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 厄尔格里特 vs 佐加顿斯?
The AI model leans 佐加顿斯 win at 68.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 16.6%, draw 15.3%, away 68.1%. Kickoff 2026-07-21 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.