周一001 · 2026-08-17 23:00 · Finished
赫尔火花 vs 坦山猫AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
赫尔火花 win 41.6%
Confidence 4.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 41.6% | 20.8% | 37.6% | 胜 | 4.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.040
Draw
0.037
Away
0.044
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 1.90 | 2.40 | — |
| Draw | 3.96 | 2.57 | 4.82 | — |
| Away | 2.45 | 1.59 | 2.66 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 赫尔火花 vs 坦山猫?
The AI model leans 赫尔火花 win at 41.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 41.6%, draw 20.8%, away 37.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-17 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.