周六014 · 2026-08-16 00:00 · Finished
玛丽港 vs 塞伊奈AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
塞伊奈 win 48.6%
Confidence 21.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.4% | 27.1% | 48.6% | 负 | 21.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.068
Draw
0.045
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 1.70 | 4.10 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.70 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.06 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 玛丽港 vs 塞伊奈?
The AI model leans 塞伊奈 win at 48.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.4%, draw 27.1%, away 48.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.