周五002 · 2026-08-14 23:00 · Finished
瓦萨 vs TPS土尔库AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-3（负）
AI Lean
瓦萨 win 53.3%
Confidence 28.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 53.3% | 24.3% | 22.4% | 胜 | 28.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.024
Draw
0.034
Away
0.052
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.88 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.11 | — |
| Away | 2.35 | 1.53 | 4.46 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 瓦萨 vs TPS土尔库?
The AI model leans 瓦萨 win at 53.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 53.3%, draw 24.3%, away 22.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-14 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.