周六004 · 2026-08-01 20:00 · Finished
TPS土尔库 vs 玛丽港AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
TPS土尔库 win 44.0%
Confidence 14.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 44.0% | 26.3% | 29.7% | 胜 | 14.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.039
Away
0.046
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 1.52 | 2.27 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.80 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.37 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win TPS土尔库 vs 玛丽港?
The AI model leans TPS土尔库 win at 44.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 44.0%, draw 26.3%, away 29.7%. Kickoff 2026-08-01 20:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.