周六204 · 2026-07-25 21:30
玛丽港 vs AC奥卢AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
AC奥卢 win 55.9%
Confidence 32.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 20.5% | 23.6% | 55.9% | 负 | 32.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.046
Draw
0.036
Away
0.026
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 0.96 | 4.87 | — |
| Draw | 9.29 | 6.04 | 4.24 | — |
| Away | 4.65 | 3.02 | 1.79 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 玛丽港 vs AC奥卢?
The AI model leans AC奥卢 win at 55.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 20.5%, draw 23.6%, away 55.9%. Kickoff 2026-07-25 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.