26095 · 2026-07-25 21:30 · Finished
玛丽港 vs AC奥卢AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
AC奥卢 win 55.9%
Confidence 33.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 22.7% | 21.3% | 55.9% | 负 | 33.2% |
| 14-Match | 22.7% | 21.3% | 55.9% | 负 | 33.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.051
Draw
0.042
Away
0.027
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 1.87 | 4.40 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.68 | — |
| Away | — | — | 1.79 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 玛丽港 vs AC奥卢?
The AI model leans AC奥卢 win at 55.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 22.7%, draw 21.3%, away 55.9%. Kickoff 2026-07-25 21:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.