周一202 · 2026-07-21 00:00
玛丽港 vs 拉赫蒂AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
拉赫蒂 win 58.3%
Confidence 37.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 21.0% | 20.6% | 58.3% | 负 | 37.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.051
Draw
0.034
Away
0.023
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 1.03 | 4.76 | — |
| Draw | 6.15 | 4.00 | 4.85 | — |
| Away | 4.75 | 3.09 | 1.71 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 玛丽港 vs 拉赫蒂?
The AI model leans 拉赫蒂 win at 58.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 21.0%, draw 20.6%, away 58.3%. Kickoff 2026-07-21 00:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.