周一201 · 2026-07-20 23:00 · Finished
TPS土尔库 vs 坦山猫AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-3（负）
AI Lean
坦山猫 win 41.2%
Confidence 10.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 31.0% | 27.7% | 41.2% | 负 | 10.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.041
Draw
0.032
Away
0.027
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 1.62 | 3.22 | — |
| Draw | 3.87 | 2.52 | 3.60 | — |
| Away | 2.93 | 1.90 | 2.43 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win TPS土尔库 vs 坦山猫?
The AI model leans 坦山猫 win at 41.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 31.0%, draw 27.7%, away 41.2%. Kickoff 2026-07-20 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.