周日010 · 2026-08-16 20:30 · Finished
奥勒松 vs 瓦勒伦加AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-5（平）
AI Lean
瓦勒伦加 win 36.5%
Confidence 4.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 32.2% | 31.3% | 36.5% | 负 | 4.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.035
Away
0.034
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.11 | — |
| Draw | 3.81 | 2.48 | 3.19 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.74 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 奥勒松 vs 瓦勒伦加?
The AI model leans 瓦勒伦加 win at 36.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 32.2%, draw 31.3%, away 36.5%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 20:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.