周日021 · 2026-08-16 23:00 · Finished
萨普斯 vs 桑纳菲尤尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
萨普斯 win 44.1%
Confidence 10.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 44.1% | 33.4% | 22.5% | 胜 | 10.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.034
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.27 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.99 | — |
| Away | 2.08 | 1.35 | 4.45 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 萨普斯 vs 桑纳菲尤尔?
The AI model leans 萨普斯 win at 44.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 44.1%, draw 33.4%, away 22.5%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.