周日019 · 2026-08-16 23:00 · Finished
莫尔德 vs 特罗姆瑟AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-2（胜）
AI Lean
莫尔德 win 61.2%
Confidence 40.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 61.2% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 胜 | 40.8% |
| 14-Match | 61.2% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 胜 | 40.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.034
Draw
0.038
Away
0.052
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 1.25 | 1.64 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.42 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.90 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 莫尔德 vs 特罗姆瑟?
The AI model leans 莫尔德 win at 61.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 61.2%, draw 18.5%, away 20.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.