周六006 · 2026-08-08 20:00 · Finished
瓦勒伦加 vs 博德闪耀AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
博德闪耀 win 47.1%
Confidence 19.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 25.0% | 27.9% | 47.1% | 负 | 19.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.049
Draw
0.028
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.00 | — |
| Draw | 4.45 | 2.89 | 3.59 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.12 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 瓦勒伦加 vs 博德闪耀?
The AI model leans 博德闪耀 win at 47.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 25.0%, draw 27.9%, away 47.1%. Kickoff 2026-08-08 20:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.