周日011 · 2026-08-02 23:00 · Finished
奥勒松 vs 特罗姆瑟AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-6（负）
AI Lean
特罗姆瑟 win 49.6%
Confidence 23.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 25.8% | 24.6% | 49.6% | 负 | 23.9% |
| 14-Match | 25.8% | 24.6% | 49.6% | 负 | 23.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.039
Draw
0.032
Away
0.030
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.88 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.06 | — |
| Away | 5.01 | 3.26 | 2.02 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 奥勒松 vs 特罗姆瑟?
The AI model leans 特罗姆瑟 win at 49.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 25.8%, draw 24.6%, away 49.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-02 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.