周日010 · 2026-08-02 23:00 · Finished
莫尔德 vs 萨普斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-3（平）
AI Lean
莫尔德 win 57.2%
Confidence 32.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 57.2% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 胜 | 32.8% |
| 14-Match | 57.2% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 胜 | 32.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.036
Away
0.045
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.75 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.43 | — |
| Away | 2.87 | 1.87 | 4.10 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 莫尔德 vs 萨普斯?
The AI model leans 莫尔德 win at 57.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 57.2%, draw 18.4%, away 24.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-02 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.