周日030 · 2026-09-21 06:30 · Finished
巴拉纳竞技 vs 巴伊亚AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
巴拉纳竞技 win 48.4%
Confidence 20.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 48.4% | 28.4% | 23.2% | 胜 | 20.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.043
Draw
0.020
Away
0.046
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 1.76 | 2.07 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.52 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.31 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 巴拉纳竞技 vs 巴伊亚?
The AI model leans 巴拉纳竞技 win at 48.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 48.4%, draw 28.4%, away 23.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-21 06:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.