周六030 · 2026-09-20 04:00 · Finished
迈拉索尔 vs 博塔弗戈AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
迈拉索尔 win 50.1%
Confidence 22.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 50.1% | 28.1% | 21.8% | 胜 | 22.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.021
Draw
0.041
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 1.60 | 2.00 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.56 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.59 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 迈拉索尔 vs 博塔弗戈?
The AI model leans 迈拉索尔 win at 50.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 50.1%, draw 28.1%, away 21.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 04:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.