周五012 · 2026-09-12 08:00 · Finished
科里蒂巴 vs 巴拉纳竞技AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-3（平）
AI Lean
巴拉纳竞技 win 46.8%
Confidence 18.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 25.0% | 28.3% | 46.8% | 负 | 18.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.045
Draw
0.030
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.01 | — |
| Draw | 3.33 | 2.16 | 3.54 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.14 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 科里蒂巴 vs 巴拉纳竞技?
The AI model leans 巴拉纳竞技 win at 46.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 25.0%, draw 28.3%, away 46.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 08:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.