周一009 · 2026-09-08 07:00 · Finished
维多利亚 vs 格雷米奥AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
维多利亚 win 44.9%
Confidence 17.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 44.9% | 27.6% | 27.5% | 胜 | 17.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.026
Draw
0.033
Away
0.050
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 1.68 | 2.23 | — |
| Draw | 3.01 | 1.96 | 3.63 | — |
| Away | 3.54 | 2.30 | 3.63 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 维多利亚 vs 格雷米奥?
The AI model leans 维多利亚 win at 44.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 44.9%, draw 27.6%, away 27.5%. Kickoff 2026-09-08 07:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.