周六023 · 2026-08-09 03:00 · Finished
格雷米奥 vs 圣保罗AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
格雷米奥 win 52.8%
Confidence 27.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 52.8% | 24.9% | 22.4% | 胜 | 27.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.025
Draw
0.038
Away
0.054
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 1.63 | 1.90 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.02 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.47 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 格雷米奥 vs 圣保罗?
The AI model leans 格雷米奥 win at 52.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 52.8%, draw 24.9%, away 22.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.