周六025 · 2026-08-09 08:00 · Finished
博塔弗戈 vs 弗鲁米嫩塞AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
博塔弗戈 win 53.9%
Confidence 25.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 53.9% | 28.1% | 17.9% | 胜 | 25.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.041
Draw
0.031
Away
0.054
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.85 | — |
| Draw | 3.65 | 2.37 | 3.55 | — |
| Away | — | — | 5.58 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 博塔弗戈 vs 弗鲁米嫩塞?
The AI model leans 博塔弗戈 win at 53.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 53.9%, draw 28.1%, away 17.9%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 08:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.