周三006 · 2026-07-30 08:30 · Finished
维多利亚 vs 帕尔梅拉斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-4（负）
AI Lean
帕尔梅拉斯 win 43.3%
Confidence 12.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 26.0% | 30.6% | 43.3% | 负 | 12.7% |
| 14-Match | 26.0% | 30.6% | 43.3% | 负 | 12.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.052
Draw
0.027
Away
0.026
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.45 | 3.54 | 3.84 | — |
| Draw | 3.91 | 2.54 | 3.26 | — |
| Away | 1.78 | 1.16 | 2.31 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 维多利亚 vs 帕尔梅拉斯?
The AI model leans 帕尔梅拉斯 win at 43.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 26.0%, draw 30.6%, away 43.3%. Kickoff 2026-07-30 08:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.