26095 · 2026-07-26 05:30 · Finished
巴拉纳竞技 vs 巴西国际AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
巴拉纳竞技 win 55.8%
Confidence 30.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 55.8% | 18.7% | 25.5% | 胜 | 30.2% |
| 14-Match | 55.8% | 18.7% | 25.5% | 胜 | 30.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.025
Draw
0.030
Away
0.055
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 1.92 | 1.79 | +EV |
| Draw | — | — | 5.34 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.92 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 巴拉纳竞技 vs 巴西国际?
The AI model leans 巴拉纳竞技 win at 55.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 55.8%, draw 18.7%, away 25.5%. Kickoff 2026-07-26 05:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.