周日217 · 2026-07-27 05:30 · Finished
弗拉门戈 vs 圣保罗AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
弗拉门戈 win 68.1%
Confidence 47.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 68.1% | 20.8% | 11.1% | 胜 | 47.3% |
| 14-Match | 68.1% | 20.8% | 11.1% | 胜 | 47.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.023
Draw
0.043
Away
0.071
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.47 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.80 | — |
| Away | 2.89 | 1.88 | 9.05 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 弗拉门戈 vs 圣保罗?
The AI model leans 弗拉门戈 win at 68.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 68.1%, draw 20.8%, away 11.1%. Kickoff 2026-07-27 05:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.