周日104 · 2026-07-20 03:00 · Finished
西班牙 vs 阿根廷AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-0（平）
AI Lean
西班牙 win 75.1%
Confidence 61.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 75.1% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 胜 | 61.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.028
Draw
0.021
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 1.57 | 1.33 | +EV |
| Draw | 3.44 | 2.24 | 8.81 | — |
| Away | 3.36 | 2.18 | 7.41 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 西班牙 vs 阿根廷?
The AI model leans 西班牙 win at 75.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 75.1%, draw 11.3%, away 13.5%. Kickoff 2026-07-20 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.